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Confidence is not the same as knowledge

Epistemology studies knowledge, justification and belief.

The idea

Feeling certain does not establish that a belief is true or well supported. Philosophers investigate what distinguishes knowledge from a lucky guess.

An example

Guessing tomorrow's weather correctly once does not show that your method was reliable.

Put it into practice

Separate the claim from your reasons for believing it.

Further reading: OpenStax · Introduction to Philosophy ↗

Test yourself: Why does one correct guess not establish a reliable method?

It could have been correct by luck

Accuracy in one case does not by itself establish justification or reliability.

Explanation and illustrative examples by One Card Wiser. Source linked for further reading.

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